Global Warming 2024 Predictions. Changing course to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees c (2.7 degrees f) — with no or limited overshoot — will instead require deep ghg emissions reductions in the near. According to ncei’s global annual temperature outlook, there is a 22% chance that 2024 will rank as the warmest year on record and a 99% chance that it will rank in the top five.
The global average temperature in 2024 will likely be more than 1.55°c, compared to 1.48°c in 2023. As 2024 passes its midpoint, the global climate continues to push into uncharted territory.